Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps

[Acebb]

"Given Mr. Trump’s resiliency and his advantages in the Sun Belt states, I believe he has a more plausible path to winning the Electoral College than Ms. Harris does."

The author goes through a bunch of scenarios for each candidate. Trump has more options, but if Harris holds MI and somehow wins GA it is over. Conversely, if Trump wins PA, he wins.

 

[Acebb]

These are all Trump +30 counties in GA. Look at the turnout.

 

[Acebb]

Uh oh:

NYT: “Across these final polls, white Democrats were 16 percent likelier to respond than white Republicans. That’s a larger disparity than our earlier polls this year, and it’s not much better than our final polls in 2020 — even with the pandemic over. It raises the possibility that the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again.”

 

[Acebb]

Uh oh

 

[Acebb]

Timing Of Vote per- NBCNews

Already Voted:
Harris +7

Vote On Election Day:
Trump +16

-------
If that holds true, Trump will win PA by about 700,000 votes.

He will absolutely crush Kamel in NC, GA, AZ, and NV. The election will be over by 11pm

 

[MAGAking1]

here is another map of significance

 

[Acebb]

Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day.

 

[Greenbacks]

Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day.

The clincher

 

[Bozzie]

Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day.

You're an election expert it truns out..?
Did you swallow Steve Kornacki accidentally or what?

 

[LENBO]

You're an election expert it truns out..?
Did you swallow Steve Kornacki accidentally or what?

Would you prefer Mark Halperin ? You know , the guy who first reported his sources said Biden was dropping out .


Out of the seven swing states Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, vice president Kamala Harris is not doing well in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona, Newsmax political analyst Mark Halperin said adding that she may have only one viable path to an Electoral College victory. She's basically back to where Joe Biden was on the eve of the debate, Halperin said adding Kamala Harris may win Pennsylvania but lose the White House as she may lose Wisconsin